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Crown Green Handicap

M Watkins

Team: Parish ChurchDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

744

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

26

Matches Played

16

Wins

10

Losses

62%

Win Rate

11.3

Avg Win Margin

6.1

Avg Loss Margin

10-3

Home Record

6-7

Away Record

40%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
26 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/16/2026

Only 26 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 156/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 26 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

9 Apr14 May11 Jun9 Jul3 Sept14 May17 Jun16 Jun-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
62%
score+0.23→contribution+0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.3
score+0.54→contribution+0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.1
score+0.32→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
689
score-0.12→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.283
Sample Size Confidence
40%(26/41 matches)
Rating1085 → shrunk 1034→ adjusted 734
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)764
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Rating744
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

16W10L26 matches·61.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Parish Church2024–2026Division 326161061.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/16/2026Tom FrithA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/12/2025Steve GloverA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025Mike HenthornA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2025S DuncanH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2025Graham OwenA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2025Roy BryanH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2025L JonesA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Neil CunliffeH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2025Paul CroweA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2025Neil AconleyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2025Peter GriffithsA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025Jonathan FenneyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2024Frank CardwellA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024Fred HullA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/17/2024D FitzgeraldA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Steve O'BrienH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024S DuncanH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Phil NewA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2024Harry SmithH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024G McClurgH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Bill MolyneuxA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2024Paul SpoonerH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Paul CroweH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Les JonesH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024Anthony PeetA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Steve BrackleyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1050% win rate↓ declining
LLLWLWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
S Duncan202100%6/24/2025
Paul Crowe202100%5/14/2025
Tom Frith0110%6/16/2026
Steve Glover0110%8/12/2025
Mike Henthorn0110%7/1/2025
Graham Owen0110%6/17/2025
Roy Bryan101100%6/3/2025
L Jones101100%5/28/2025
Neil Cunliffe0110%5/20/2025
Neil Aconley101100%5/6/2025
Biggest Win
Les Jones (+19)4/23/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Mike Henthorn (-17)7/1/2025
Best Season
202471% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202555% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
69% → 54%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
68926 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
16-1062% win rate
Division 361.5%
16W·10L·26 played

Debut

Apr 9, 2024

Latest

Jun 16, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.7 (26 total)

Seasons

202420252026